The reason weights have not followed the expected surging trend over the last two months has many theories, and the likelihood that a combination of issues has led to the falling live weights is having major factors in keeping weights lower. The most publicized theory has been herd reductions due to euthanization. A portion of the hog herd has been depopulated through the last couple of months, but the overall number of hogs affected is extremely hard to pin down. Even though these numbers will have a significant impact on operations, the total on a national and regional basis is likely smaller than some are proposing.
Most likely, the biggest contributor to reduced hog weights is a proactive strategy taken by hog producers over the last three months. They reduced overall daily gains, likely beginning in mid-March, when social distancing first started and regulations started to be seen around the nation. Significant reductions in hog slaughter did not develop until early April. With producers starting to reduce daily gains from maximum levels with the use of ration changes, marginal temperature changes and slight feed reductions, the potential to curb daily gains by 0.5 pounds per head per day would result in an estimated 15 pounds per month of production. Through the combination of all recent changes, hog weights have fallen 8.5 pounds per head from the highest levels. This will go a long way in helping to keep the market current through the summer.
The upcoming USDA Hogs and Pigs report won't answer all of the questions. However, a close look at current market hog numbers in specific weight categories and expected farrowing intentions through the rest of 2020 and early 2021 should help give a more clear picture of direction through the upcoming summer and fall months.
Rick Kment can be reached at rick.kment@dtn.com
© (c) Copyright 2020 DTN, LLC. All rights reserved.
"heavy" - Google News
June 23, 2020 at 04:16PM
https://ift.tt/3fTiVYM
Where Have the Heavy Hogs Gone? - DTN The Progressive Farmer
"heavy" - Google News
https://ift.tt/35FbxvS
https://ift.tt/3c3RoCk
heavy
Bagikan Berita Ini
0 Response to "Where Have the Heavy Hogs Gone? - DTN The Progressive Farmer"
Post a Comment